If you were a passive observer of this election, you may very well agree with the public polls that you see. You may believe that not only is Barack Obama going to be our next President, but that it will be a huge blow out in his favor.
You watch the news and see that Obama is planning his $2 million election party. You read that his campaign has already started his inauguration speech. You read how his transition team is preparing for his inevitable trip to the White House.
First, Barack Obama has raised over $600 million dollars. Everyone can agree that is a huge amount of money. It is impressive by any stretch of the imagination. He has used this large sum of money to his advantage. He has spent double, triple, sometimes quadruple the amount of money on ads in battlegrounds states than John McCain.
Second, Barack Obama has used the Internet to advance his campaign like no other in our history. The way that his campaign captured email and cell phone account numbers was amazing. Just think of all of the information they gathered with the announcement of his VP candidate. (they get a pass for screwing up the actual announcement)
Third, Obama's campaign has made huge gains in voter registration. We can argue all day and night about ACORN, but the fact is that they have increased their voter rolls. Even the homeless in Ohio can claim a park bench as a residency. The Democrats have widened their party identification by huge numbers this election season.
Finally, Obama has 70-90% of the media in the tank for him. Almost all of the research and polls done on this subject show that Obama has double the positive press than John McCain. Just looking at the magazine covers will give that fact away. All of the polls have been showing Obama way up.
At this point, Conservatives, Republicans, and McCain supporters should be feeling more than a little disenfranchised and ready to throw in the towels. But here's a little secret that will give you hope...more than hope....it should make you optimistic...no it should give you a warm and fuzzy feeling. Here it is....
For all of the information I just shared, Barack Obama is not above 50% in most polls. He isn't above 50% in most of the battleground polls. This week his campaign sent out requests that he needed just $10 more from each of his supporters to help him out.
If Barack Obama is on the verge of this great blowout, why is he spending so much time in Pennsylvania this week? Why does he have both Clintons in Pennsylvania this week? Why did he feel the need to buy 30-minutes of airtime on three major networks? Why are the Clinton traveling to New Hampshire this week? Why is Barack Obama spending so much money in Pennsylvania if he really has a 10-point lead in the state?
This race is far from over. The Obama campaign may be publicly spouting their confidence (I call it arrogance), but privately there is a completely different conversation going on. His team knows that going into the final days that he must keep his head above that 50% mark or he may very well lose this election that most have already said he won.
Ask yourself this question, if you cannot seal this deal with $600 million dollars, the press in the tank, a huge advantage in voter registration, and a ground game that equals no other, what exactly will it take for you to close this deal? Are you capable of closing this deal at all? At this point in the primaries, the undecided voters went overwhelmingly to Hillary Clinton.
Can John McCain still win this race?...........................You Betcha!!!!